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: Do not judge the quality of a decision based solely on its outcome. A "good" decision can still lead to a "bad" result due to luck, just as a poor decision can occasionally yield a positive one. Think in Percentages

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: A concise guide that explores how to work around biases and objectively evaluate beliefs. : Do not judge the quality of a

Several key concepts underpin Duke's approach to probabilistic thinking. These include: thinking in bets annie duke pdf link